tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32841798.post7647296355007565209..comments2024-03-28T09:55:42.123+00:00Comments on Capitalists@Work: Oil Price Forecast? 'Up' or 'Down' Would be NiceCityUnslickerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/15929544047783163175noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32841798.post-64568958946605956872017-09-06T12:38:24.839+01:002017-09-06T12:38:24.839+01:00... the best article I've seen about the lates...... the best article I've seen about the latest NK test is in The Diplomat:<br /><br /><br /><a href="https://thediplomat.com/2017/09/welcome-to-the-h-bomb-club-north-korea/" rel="nofollow">https://thediplomat.com/2017/09/welcome-to-the-h-bomb-club-north-korea/</a><br /><br />It rightly hedges a bit on if it is boosted or H-bomb - a well designed boosted weapon could do 120 kt. But I find the photos and explicit claim convincing, as the U.S. may well be able to work it out from gas sampling, and I doubt NK wants to lose credibility here.rwendlandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07861901317813829419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32841798.post-89375039073966507452017-09-06T12:17:51.460+01:002017-09-06T12:17:51.460+01:00dearieme, that LRB article is about the NK Septemb...<br />dearieme, that LRB article is about the NK September 2016 test, not the latest one - it was published 3 weeks ago.<br /><br />NK says the latest was of a variable yield "two-stage thermo-nuclear weapon", adjustable from "tens kiloton to hundreds kiloton". Somewhat like the UK's last nuclear bomb, the variable yield WE.177, which ranged from 0.5 kilotons (tactical or shallow depth bomb mode) to ~450 kilotons.<br /><br />It is probably both boosted and a H-bomb, giving at least three variable yield modes: primary unboosted, primary boosted, full two stage thermonuclear. It looks like the test was at around ~120 kilotons, so maybe there is also an option with a larger secondary. From the photos it isn't as compact as the most modern western designs, so they may go for another design iteration for a better long range ICBM warhead. They have become pretty smart cookies over the years in nuclear and missiles - technically maybe in advance of Pakistan and India.rwendlandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07861901317813829419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32841798.post-18234139214725402782017-09-05T18:57:11.303+01:002017-09-05T18:57:11.303+01:00Thought I'd better order the winter heating oi...Thought I'd better order the winter heating oil today, before things get hairier.<br /><br />I must say I hadn't realised when the Norks fired over Hokkaido that the Japanese, Americans and SouthKs had just finished large-scale military exercises there and in South Korea - exercises aimed at NK. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32841798.post-66177120350247129972017-09-05T18:13:22.793+01:002017-09-05T18:13:22.793+01:00Well I'm forecasting the S&P500 back down ...Well I'm forecasting the S&P500 back down below 2100 before the year end. It's basically a proxy trade as I don't have the balls to short bitcoin but know mania when I see it.Steven_Lhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05029437876479574883noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32841798.post-48841390434218841732017-09-05T11:28:02.380+01:002017-09-05T11:28:02.380+01:00But was it an H-bomb?
https://www.lrb.co.uk/blog/...But was it an H-bomb?<br /><br />https://www.lrb.co.uk/blog/2017/08/18/jeremy-bernstein/boosting/#comments<br /><br />Still, a few of those well-placed could disturb the price of oil I dare say.deariemenoreply@blogger.com