There's something very deep in human psychology that encourages people to believe in magic swords, universal elixirs, price forecasts, p...

Canary Wharf: cornerstone  Following on from the post about the 'predictions market' & how various attempts to make financial m...

As fans of open markets, generally speaking, what do we make of the soi-disant "predictions market"? in which the firm Kalshi has ...

Part 1 was a qualitative summary of what the SZC deal looks like.  It isn't difficult to find more exact details - Mr W has provided sev...

Spoiler alert: nobody knows ; and it's not clear anyone cares who has agency in the matter[1].  We've written about aspects of this ...