Monday, 13 October 2008

President Obama is coming


strong Dem Strong Dem (235)
weak Dem Weak Dem (47)
barely Dem Barely Dem (64)
tied Exactly tied (11)
barely GOP Barely GOP (26)
weak GOP Weak GOP (24)
strong GOP Strong GOP (131)
270 Electoral votes needed to win

Just to interrupt the Nationalisation of the Banking sector for a moment before anything else happens. The election for President of the United States of America is getting close. 3 weeks.
For those who haven't been following closely...

Republican McCain all votes 181

Democrat Obama all votes 346

Tied 11 votes

If Obama keeps All the Strong Democrat states he can lose all the weak and barely held Democratic voting states except for only say Florida and Virginia to become President. McCain needs to hold All his strong "Grand Old Party" seats. Then gain all the weak GOP and all the barely GOP. Then win all the tied states. Then win all the barely Democrat states and finally pinch another 18 electoral college votes from maybe Virginia and Maine to win.

If the polls were with him, it would be a massive task. They are not. The polls are giving Obama a roughly 8% lead.
According to Public Policy Polling, Hispanics are shifting towards Obama in large numbers. So its likely that Colorado {CO} New Mexico {NM} and Nevada {NV} will go Democrat and most of these figures have been similar long before Palingate started to turn swing voters off. .
So President Obama it is, baring something even more unexpected than recent unexpected events.

The Banking collapse not helping McCain as much as Brown then.



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