Friday, 1 January 2010
even more Predictions for 2010
So, in 2010:
1. Poor economic results for quarter one 2010 helps to give a slightly better than expected Tory win. Cameron has a 45-60 Majority. England doing very well in the World Cup allows the Tories to announce an emergency public sector cuts budget followed by another tax raising budget later in the year. However the focus on avoiding unemployment causing tax rises benefits business and allows recovery, with the UK ending the year with 1.5% growth.
2. Troop casualties rise during the June surge but by the end of the year plans are well advanced for troop withdrawals from Afghanistan. British commitment to be severely scaled back for 2011. Afghanistan continues to dominate the news.
3. The integrated Broadband-TV set top box, which should just about make an appearance, will make a difference to households. BBC will reap the benefits of I-player on screen. New entertainment companies will sell screenable content and replace DVDs. A new lease of life emerges for the dying reality TV format.
But in future years having the ability to pull up a bloggers views while watching the news or a product review while on the shopping channel will make providers and producers wish they'd never uttered " total 360 degree fully integrated social networking on demand television."
4. Dave Miliband will succeed Macbreth. But only just and he will have to give a high profile role to Ed. A Kennedy style cabinet forms, the difference being they never actually hold office.
5. UK will retain its AAA But the cuts will have to be more severe than the politicians think. The current 10-15% will not be enough. NHS and education ring fencing, plus the government's forward military announcements are not going to leave much for the rest. Possibly even department merging or another attempt to make councils regional instead of county wide.
Happy New year.