Sunday 8 September 2019

The rise of the Populists.

There was once a right wing party that did rather well in the polls. Coming from nowhere, they managed to do very well in a series of local elections. So well, that the usual labor-conservative parties took real fright at this new upstart's influence. And both began pursuing an agenda to contain the new populist party. Rather than on tackling the causes of that populism.

The leader of this new right of centre party was a very charismatic leader. Good speaker. Good showman. He had taken over as leader from a very ineffective bunch who had been peddling their various grievances for years. Immigration. Foreign influences. Bankers. Bureaucrats. 
 The new guy turfed the old dullards out and went on a rabble rousing tour of the country. Drumming up support with just a few, simple messages. 

The nation had been through a massive financial crash. Some had lost much. Many had lost some. And austerity had been dragging on and on. Cuts to all manner of public services had made everyone poorer than they had been. And prospects were not looking good. 

The existing political parties were balanced against each other. A hard left communist party had taken hold on the left. Against a more central, one-nation, liberal-social-democratic-middle-grounders, on the other. The moderate left was losing to the far left. The moderate right, moved too far to the soggy-middle, and allowed a large area on its right flank for another party to develop.

No one side could gain a comprehensive majority large enough to enact any even vaguely controversial legislation.  Any that was tried was challenged through the courts by special interest groups and rich financiers. 

Protests were everywhere. All the time. About anything at all. Newspapers and media took sides and banged their supporters drums loudly. The European community looked on in bafflement, despair, and with more than a little fear. They had populists of their own to contend with. 
 When the leader of the country asked the Europeans for help and assistance, amending some binding laws, to see off the Our Country First group, they met with little sympathy and even less assistance.

 Inevitably, the centre grouping fell from power in yet another election that was as inconclusive as any that had gone on before. The far left made a lot of progress at some expense of the far right. The middle grouping had even less support than before. 

A sizeable number of Conservatives supported moving more to the right. Embracing some of the populists aims. At the same time there was a limited resurgence of Liberal parties. 
 Both far left and far right support was declining. People were becoming tired of constant protest and disruption,. Strikes and pickets and marches. The language of politics had become one of intolerance and aggression.

The weak centre party limped on, and for a time no one was really in charge. 

Parliament allowed a very dangerous precedent, by overruling convention and procedure, and issuing their own, enourmously powerful, unchangeable, undemocratic, decrees. 
 This gave a huge and unrepresentative amount of power, to just a very few key individuals.

 Eventually the leading industrialists, bankers and business leaders said they just wanted certainty. They had long been trying to keep the bad for business far right or far left out. Now they just wanted an end to it all. Their inability to make decisions, due to the volatile politics, was having real, and severe, economic impacts. They put aside differences and demanded some stability. From wherever it might come.

In a by-election, the populist party put on a massive show. It was an area they expected to do well. But recently they had been losing vote share. Falling quite rapidly in the polls, to the new, more right of centre, minority government. 
They were determined to throw everything into the effort in an attempt to show they were still a major player. Still a significant force, and actually rising in popularity.

They spent so much money, that their treasurer was beside himself. Almost suffering a breakdown with still weeks to go before voting. 
 The party was bankrupt, twice over. And yet it was still holding large arena events and had aircraft flying banners overhead. Full on rallies of enthusiastic supporters and lots of paid for media coverage. The treasurer and many senior party figures were seriously worried that this stunt, rather than propelling them into mainstream politics, would mean their extinction. They had gone from high percentage of votes to almost none, many times before.  

In the event, the party did only a bit better than they had done previously. It took skillful use of the media and a selective interpretation of the results to give the impression that they had done much better, than they actually had. This didn't help the nerves of the parties financial people.
 The leader tried to reassure them all would be well again. The election was very near. The gamble on the biggest prize of all, was only weeks away. 

They were unconvinced.

So in the end Hitler simply told all his team to keep spending. Not to let up. The illusion of wealth, strength and support was just as powerful as actual strength, wealth and support.

He told them the obvious truth of Do Or Die politics. Explained the one chance strategy in the simplest of terms.

"Keep spending. Spend even more! Because if we lose, then it won't matter. And if we win, then it won't matter."

* Hitler had an enourmous fight with his missus right before the 1932 election. Eva Braun attempted suicide. His dealings with women had led to suicides of his niece and would of Unity Mitford. The old dog had a women problem.

*The German Conservatives tried to deal with Gregor Strasser, a Nazi. He was to have taken over from Hitler. Strasser was a sort of Gove figure. He could be in either, or all camps, simultaneously.
Strasser  said of Johnson, Hitler, "He is a congenital liar."
He wrote of Hitler's chief strategist and spinner, Goebbels, as being a clubfoot. "And I tell the worst of them all. This is Satan in human form." 

*Strasser was killed during the purge of 1934. Shot by the SA and left to bleed to death in a cell.

* The Nazis lost votes in November 1932, overall. 34 seats lost. The violence had become endemic. But the politicians were convinced that the Nazis had that much popular support that they must be included in any government. They hoped they could be controlled. In 1933 the Nazis gained a huge new number of seats. 192. But still a long way short of a majority. It was Corbyn type of win. And probably their high water mark, if events hadn't taken them further.
The 1933 elections were the last multi-party election in Germany. There would not be one again for 57 years.

*Why did you morph from Farage to Johnson in this narrative? I was going for a cabaret end scene vibe.

* Am I saying Johnson/Farage have Nazi/Facist, tendencies and methods? NO. 

*Was the rise of the Nazis hugely accelerated and assisted by the infighting. Disunity. Weakness. Despair, uncompromising positions, and ineffectiveness of the existing politicians and structures of 1930s Germany? YES.

And the most dangerous long term development for Germany was the government giving emergency powers to itself, long before Hitler took over. These powers allowed the parliament to bypass itself. Rule by decree.

 Does Bercow realise, a hostile to the EU, Speaker, can just as easily bend the rules to deliver what a pro-EU parliament does not want?


Lord Blagger said...

Populism is just democracy, from the losers point of view.

hovis said...

Is there only one anology available to anyone writing these days? Get abit paper thin which ever way you want to stretch it. Lots more intersting ones out there - bit given no one is taught history prior to WWII tey wouldnt understand?

Anonymous said...

from the losers point of view.

LB is correct. We base our society on winner takes all. Whether it is an election (FPTP), our sport, our our laws (loser pays costs).

Boris see this as a war. A winner takes all war - whether it be the Conservative Party, Parliament or the country. It is almost a medieval point of view - Boris and his Barons.

Question is, would you want a someone like that with all the power and no counterbalance. Because a winner like Boris can and appears willing dismantle any opposition to his world view.

And he was chosen by less than 100,000 people and setting about removing those unwilling to accept his view.

dearieme said...

"And he was chosen by less than 100,000 people "

His policy was chosen by 14.7 million people.

Lord Blagger said...

Consent is the way forward.

Remainers can say yes, get a maroon passport with EU rights.
Leavers can say no, get a blue passport with no EU rights.

Then we tell HMRC. The leavers get a tax cut, totaling the cost of May's deal / EU costs [not payments are just a fraction of the costs].

Remainers get a tax increase, and a binding set up where they pay the debts run up by the EU, stability pact etc.

Now I bet, when faced with the consequences of their decisions, remainers would say no.

They just want to force others to pay for their wants.

BlokeInBrum said...


Democracy is about the losers conceding when they lose and going along with the majority vote.

In this specific case, the vote to Leave the European Union was won, yet many are refusing to go along with that democratically made decision.

Pehaps Boris should invoke the Civil Contingencies Act ( thanks Mr. Blair! ) and start jailing people who are arguably seditious?

As for the 100,000 people jibe, you're a moron or a liar. Either educate yourself about how our political system works, or since you probably do know, stop trying to use it as a club to beat people with whom you disagree. Its extremely transparent politicking, marks you out instantly as dishonest and only invites scorn from everyone.

Hobnob said...

Boris has made a decision. He cannot go back on it.
He cannot suddenly declare he wants to stay in the EU after 31st. He cannot suddenly say all those he kicked out, are now back in. Not without losing all hope of winning an election.

He must continue on the path he has chosen. Wherever it may lead. Remainers hoping he will reinstate the remainers, so the remainers can take over the Tory party when he fails, are delusional.

Johnson is running a single strategy operation. March or Die.
So far, 22 didn't march.

Anonymous said...

Some of the Tory remainers might be allowed to return after Brexit is completed. A bit of magnanimity would be in order.

Don Cox

Lord Blagger said...

No. Leaving them out to try leads to a message being sent.

Anonymous said...

Agreed that the Tories who are attempting a pro-EU coup should be treated with extreme severity.

Raedwald said...

We're a democratic party - OMOV - and we elected a leader with a mandate to lead. Members who disagree with that decision are free to leave, or to accept the democratic will of the Party and remain and co-operate.

But let us be clear. Those members who attempt to sabotage Boris' government are acting not just against our democratically elected leader, but against every other member of our party. No member, no matter how exalted they imagine they are, has the right to do this and remain a member. Debate and discussion within the Party are one thing - and we have annual conferences at which a variety of viewpoints can be shared - but trying to wreck a Conservative government is unacceptable under any circumstances.

It's a voluntary club. You either obey the rules, or you're out.

And now more than ever we need to hold fast to our democratic foundations - universal suffrage, the secret ballot and the right to form and associate in political associations. These alone are the tenets that can make 2016 another 1688 or 1848.

Lord Blagger said...

The big problem is consent. The problem with government is that they don't do consent. That's the core issue with Brexit.
Remainers forced leavers in. They didn't consider consent.
Now leavers are forcing remainers out, remainers don't get consent.
Ironically, they now whinge like mad.

L fairfax said...

Hitler was not right wing - in the US someone gave a speech made up only of Hitler's remarks to Antifa and was widely cheered.

Lord Blagger said...

You can do the same with 98% of the British National Party to any Labour member in the UK. If you swap migrant for Jewish, that 98% increases

E-K said...

A general election would release us from Purgatory, so who's stopping it ?

Them's t' blame.

dercy lyne said...

Hello there, my name is Darci Lyne, I am from a new jersey, USA. I read a post-comment online of a Los Angeles Based Journalist Reveals How he Permanently Cured Weak Erection & Quick Ejaculation 2 months after His wife Left Him and he also said Dr. NOSA makes his ex-wife return back after 2year of separation. I contacted the same Dr. NOSA because of my challenges in life, I have these Powerful Intentions that things will work for me, I believed in testimonies are real-life proves. I realized this would be good to share here as I know it will inspire others too.
I was so lucky to come across BLACK MAGIC SPELLS
Caster personal contact
I'm not sure I could have done it without him. I would have given up and believed that because my husband was seeing someone else and he said we were done. After Dr.NOSA launched a Magic Love-spell, my husband calls me on the cell phone and he returns back home. Thank you so much for bringing back my husband home after 3 years of separation. We are forever indebted. today I'm testifying with joy and happiness to the world...also, you can
WhatsApp with him-- +2349083639501
* Love Spells Win-Back Ex lover
* Success & promotion magic spell
* lucky charm - BUSINESS STAR
* curse resolution
Divorce problem solution?
solution to sickness and diseases of the body
want a love spell for a new lover?
* spiritual cleansing
* fertility magic - FRUITS OF WOMEN