Monday, 29 November 2021

Oh my cri!

 Omicron has done a number on the markets that is for sure. They have bounced a little today, but from sharp falls last week. 

I can't help but think the media is again taking the bad news and running with it. No real time has been spent understanding if this variant is really any worse than Delta or even if it will be able to out compete it - a high bar given Delta was already 6x more catching than Alpha.

It will be a few weeks to see, the Governments across the world are quicker now with restrictions, but it might all blow over very quickly - it is my hunch, so I hope I am right!

50 comments:

Charlie said...

Nice little Black Friday sale in the FTSE, topped up my holdings in various inflation-proof companies. Most bounced, hard, because the hysteria whipped up largely by the media and various useful idiots on Friday was just that - hysteria.

Bill Quango MP said...

Although really not wanting to kick it all off again,..well. Someone will.

Today, in work, I’m masked up. First time since Boris said no need too. Very first person I see says, “I am so pleased mask wearing is back. It’s so much safer. Should never have been stopped.”

Older person saying this. Who only wears one to go out. Thirty minutes a time? Hour a day? Two times a week? If they had to wear one 8-9 hours a day, like school kids and workers, different story.

Fewer people wearing a mask this weekend than I’ve seen since day one of lockdown. Down to around 50%.

On the post itself, I disagree. Media is hunting for the infected. Will report every sighting and every overblown ‘ fact’ about the killer variant until the Christmas lockdown is a reality. Opposition will clamour for “ making us” ( Especially our union members) safe. SNP will demand the Nicola variant of resistance to Omicron. Which is the Boris version, but more expensive. Wales will copy Scotland with added restrictions that make less sense.
Schools will want to close early. Why not now? For safety.
DVLA haven’t even gone back yet. What hope their union won’t insist it’s too dangerous to possibly work online. Must stay at home. Conserving strength.

The media. Opposition, and Remoaner anti-Boris lobby will force him to choose between the threat of NHS collapse or furlough for all!
Boris will look at Rishi. Who will tell him the game is up. There is no money. Was no money last time. Now there’s no, no extra money and inflation will take what there is and destroy us.

Captain hindsight will point out that inflation is completely dead, if a lockdown is announced. At least, it’s dead during the lockdown.
And Boris will choose the road less difficult. The least hostile path.

So Christmas lockdown, it is.
In Two to Three weeks time.
Because in 3 weeks time we, “the public,” will be demanding it.

( well .. it’s a theory.)

Ps. Last thread. Someone mentioned the retail workers union demanding lockdown or strike.
They are the most toothless and useless union ever. They couldn’t get a ballot for that action. Have NEVER, even held talks on strike action.

Teachers, yes.

Retail, not in a billion years.

E-K said...

We the public...

Yup. I despair. Candy off of babies.

dearieme said...

Not much point getting a booster, is there, if the soon-to-be-dominant Ohmygad variant evades it?

I think I'll skip my usual flu jab this year. The evidence has been that it does little-to-no good but at least it does no harm either.

But I'm not confident that it will do no harm with my double-Pfizered immune system so I'll wait until there's some evidence on that. Maybe that will also allow evidence on boosterism to emerge.

Surgical masks and cloth masks are just bollocks - they do no good and conceivably might do a bit of harm. I might wear one come Spring to keep the pollen out. Big chaps, pollen particles.

To pass the long winter evenings we should hunt down and hang schoolteachers. Joy to the world!

Anonymous said...

dearieme: "I think I'll skip my usual flu jab this year."

You might as well skip it altogether:-

"However, no evidence indicated that vaccination reduced hospitalizations or mortality among elderly persons."


https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32120383/


But then at least the influenza vaccine won't usually give you myocarditis or Bell's palsy.

andrew said...

I think we are all becoming a lot more southen European.

In that we are all in favour of lots of overbearing regulation but quietly ignore it as it is 'pour les autres'

Boris may be awful but part of the reason he is still in office is that he does reflect in his actions (not wearing a mask in hospital, not declaring gifts and flying to london on a private jet after cop26) what a lot of people think.

Anonymous said...

When Boris is gone - no government lasts forever - the Corbynistas will be salivating at the long list of draconian legislation he left behind for them to use.

Boris is not only lazy, he is politically dangerous.

James Higham said...

Happy 'hunching' CuS. đŸ˜€

Elby the Beserk said...

Impossible to reconcile reality and the mainstream media. They long ago parted company, with "climate change" a pre-run for "Covid-19, we're all gonna die..."

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-health/science-and-disease/south-african-doctor-raised-alarm-omicron-variant-says-symptoms/

"Dr Angelique Coetzee said she was first alerted to the possibility of a new variant when patients in her busy private practice in the capital Pretoria started to come in earlier this month with Covid-19 symptoms that did not make immediate sense.

They included young people of different backgrounds and ethnicities with intense fatigue and a six-year-old child with a very high pulse rate, she said. None suffered from a loss of taste or smell.

“Their symptoms were so different and so mild from those I had treated before,” said Dr Coetzee, a GP for 33 years who chairs the South African Medical Association alongside running her practice."

Either we learn to live with Covid, or we learn to live with a hopeless and tyrannical government.

==================

Anonymous Anonymous said...
When Boris is gone - no government lasts forever - the Corbynistas will be salivating at the long list of draconian legislation he left behind for them to use.

Boris is not only lazy, he is politically dangerous.

6:29 am
===================================

Quite so.

Elby the Beserk said...

Mask? Useless. Sure, your surgeon must wear one, you don't want him dribbling into your wound, or he or she ingesting whatever nasty substance might burst from a wound, but for protecting yourself or others? Fergeddabaht it. Tho' it does tickle me seeing masked lone drivers, preventing themselves from giving themselves Covid.

"Evidence for Community Cloth Face Masking to Limit
the Spread of SARS‐CoV‐2: A Critical Review
cato.org/working-paper/evidence-community-cloth-face-masking-limit-spread-sars-cov-2-critical-review
Of sixteen quantitative meta‐analyses, eight were equivocal or critical as to whether evidence supports a public recommendation of masks, and the remaining eight supported a public mask intervention on limited evidence primarily on the basis of the precautionary principle.

NOVEMBER 8, 2021 • WORKING PAPER NO. 64
By Ian T. Liu, Vinay Prasad, and Jonathan J. Darrow
ABOUT THE AUTHORS
Ian T. Liu
Vinay Prasad

The use of cloth facemasks in community settings has become an accepted public policy response to decrease disease transmission during the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet evidence of facemask efficacy is based primarily on observational studies that are subject to confounding and
on mechanistic studies that rely on surrogate endpoints (such as droplet dispersion) as proxies for disease transmission. The available clinical evidence of facemask efficacy is of low quality and the best available
clinical evidence has mostly failed to show efficacy, with fourteen of sixteen identified randomized controlled trials comparing face masks to no mask controls failing to find statistically significant benefit in the
intent‐to‐treat populations. Of sixteen quantitative meta‐analyses, eight were equivocal or critical as to whether evidence supports a public recommendation of masks, and the remaining eight supported a public mask intervention on limited evidence primarily on the basis of the
precautionary principle. Although weak evidence should not preclude precautionary actions in the face of unprecedented events such as the COVID-19 pandemic, ethical principles require that the strength of the
evidence and best estimates of amount of benefit be truthfully communicated to the public."

Similarly, lockdown. Stats show that to be ineffective as well.

E-K said...

Why wait for Labour to do the damage ?

Elby the Beserk said...

And more on the useless masking

https://dailysceptic.org/2021/11/29/masks-have-made-no-meaningful-difference-to-delta-oxford-professor/

"Professor Jim Naismith, Director of the Rosalind Franklin Institute and Professor of Structural Biology at the University of Oxford, has pointed out that, despite England dropping its mask mandate in July while Scotland kept its one in force, there is no evidence of this policy making any difference in the two countries’ infection rates. He writes:

The ONS survey results on prevalence shows that the Scottish and English approach to masking, although formally different since July, has made no meaningful difference to Delta. In both countries very high levels of prevalence have continued for months. Thus the new changes announced are unlikely to have much of an impact if Omicron does indeed spread rapidly."

And that folks, is "The Science" as it stands...

Thud said...

EK, as bad as Boris is 12 months of labour would have you remembering the metro prick fondly.

Sobers said...

Mask wearing is voodoo magic for the mentally weak.

lilith said...

Very interesting (although long and chatty) discussion of the psychology we are witnessing

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qj5bo_KFqgo&t=374s&ab_channel=JefDamen

and how we ended up with this nonsense.

lilith said...

I asked a nurse friend yesterday how Covid was locally and in the hospital.
"Covid is the least of our worries. There is one Covid ward at the hospital and it isn't busy. What is alarming is just how many of our friends (medics) are having cardiovascular and clotting incidents. None have died but they will have to give up work....and they are mostly very fit....half a dozen at least. All since June"

Now I know that 40's and 50's are the highest risk time for heart attacks but even so. She has never seen the like.


Jan said...

I have decided to self identify as deaf so when someone confronts me about my lack of mask-wearing I can have a bit of fun and say something along the lines of "What did you say"? whilst cupping my ear with one hand.

They can't then have a go at me as it would be discrimination of a disabled person.

If they persist I can point out I can't lip read because they're wearing a mask and pretend not to understand.

I'll let you know how I get on. If everyone suddenly becomes deaf it would be hilarious.....play the woke at their own game. Sorry if I've caused offence to anyone who actually is deaf.

There were quite a lot unmasked in the shops today and no-one said anything to maskless me which gave me a little bit of cheer.

Jan said...

For lillith:


https://dailysceptic.org/2021/11/25/vaccine-safety-update-19/

Summary of Adverse Events in the U.K.

According to an updated report published on November 19th, the MHRA Yellow Card reporting system has recorded a total of 1,271,009 events based on 386,517 reports. The total number of fatalities reported is 1,784.

Pfizer (24.2 million first doses, 20.6 million second doses) now has one Yellow Card in 185 people vaccinated. Deaths: 1 in 39,607 people vaccinated (611).
AstraZeneca (24.8 million first doses, 24.1 million second doses) has one Yellow Card in 105 people vaccinated. Deaths: 1 in 22,103 people vaccinated (1,122).
Moderna (1.5 million first doses, 1.3 million second doses) has one Yellow Card in 85 people vaccinated. Deaths: 1 in 78,947 people vaccinated (19).

Overall, one in every 131 people vaccinated (0.76%) have experienced a Yellow Card adverse event. The MHRA has previously estimated that the Yellow Card reporting rate may be approximately 10% of actual figures.

Thrombosis/Embolism (All types)= 7,391
Anaphylaxis = 1,427
Acute Cardiac = 17,753
Herpes = 4,468
Blindness = 439
Deafness = 633
Spontaneous Abortions = 626 miscarriages + 17 foetal deaths
Migraines & Headaches = 125,498
Central Nervous System Haemorrhage (Stroke) = 2,745
Guillain-Barré Syndrome = 529
Facial Paralysis incl. Bell’s Palsy = 1,844
Vertigo/Tinnitus = 10,338
Seizures = 3,006
Paralysis = 1,226
Tremor = 11,732
Epistaxis (Nosebleeds) = 3,198
Reproductive/Breast Disorders = 46,414

More info at the link

lilith said...

Thank you Jan.

ONS all cause mortality stats

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwjSstNnQhc&ab_channel=InstituteforHealthScienceIntegrity

lilith said...

If you can't be bothered to watch ONS stats video summary
Vax is not associated with a reduction in all cause mortality in the under 60s
Vax is associated with more than double the death rate from all cause mortality in the under 60s


dearieme said...

"I know that 40's and 50's are the highest risk time for heart attacks". Once upon a time that was true but now heart attacks are mainly just one of the ways that the old die. See © Statista 2021:

Deaths by heart diseases in the U.S. in 2016, by age and gender (per 100,000 resident population)

Characteristic Male Female
Under 1 year 7.2 7.6
1-4 years 0.8 0.7
5-14 years 0.5 0.4
15-24 years 2.8 1.5
25-34 years 10.2 5.2
35-44 years 35.5 16.4
45-54 years 112.5 47.4
55-64 years 271.3 113.5
65-74 years 536.4 266
75-84 years 1,312 826.4
>84 years 4,403.5 3,589.7

P.S. Nobody knows why age-adjusted heart attack rates have fallen so much since the 1960s/70s. Doctors like to claim the credit but apparently there's no evidence for the claim.


Jan said...

A very interesting article from a cardiff university professor about our current predicament:
https://thephilosophicalsalon.com/a-self-fulfilling-prophecy-systemic-collapse-and-pandemic-simulation/

Elby the Beserk said...

More and more papers noting that the vaxxes are very damaging - and spike proteins are extremely toxic. I'll pass thanks

The following explains Lil's note above re friends' colleagues.


https://dailysceptic.org/2021/11/27/whats-the-truth-about-covid-vaccines-and-heart-attacks/


https://dailysceptic.org/search_gcse/?q=cardiac



OP paper in one post for ref: Abstract 10712: mRNA COVID Vaccines Dramatically Increase Endothelial Inflammatory Markers and ACS Risk as Measured by the PULS Cardiac Test: a Warning

https://www.ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/circ.144.suppl_1.10712

Dr Mobeen Syed Discusses these papers and the implications, although the subject is complex the lecture is presented in a format accessible to a lay audience. Part 1 (25 mins) Here:

SARS-COV-2 Spike Damages Heart Tissue and Vessels (IN-VITRO Study from UK)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2u3AYK808pw

Part 2 (28mins) Here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QZyBUmuIQP4

lilith said...

Perhaps the reduction is due to people throwing away the fags Dearieme? Or they are dying of something else (cancer) before they have a chance to have heart disease?

Great article Jan

Elby the Beserk said...

Jan said...
A very interesting article from a cardiff university professor about our current predicament:
https://thephilosophicalsalon.com/a-self-fulfilling-prophecy-systemic-collapse-and-pandemic-simulation/

2:28 pm
=========================================================================

Jan,

Thanks. Terrifying article that make abundant sense.

dearieme said...

@lilith, the decline in heart attacks started well before the decline in ciggies.

Cancers don't kill people early enough to explain the numbers.

Bill Quango MP said...

Bbc today.

School Covid absence up 60% in England in two weeks

"We had 20 cancellations over the weekend, mostly for Christmas parties. Customers were phoning to tell us they weren't sure what was going to happen in a few weeks so they'd rather cancel now."
Damian Wawrzyniak, an award-winning chef.

Omicron found in Netherlands earlier than thought
Cases of the new Omicron variant of Covid-19 were present in the Netherlands earlier than previously thought, Dutch officials have said.

Nine Omicron cases in Scotland linked to 'single event'
All nine cases of Omicron in Scotland are linked to a "single private event" on 20 November, First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has said. She told the Scottish Parliament that all those affected had been tested on or around 23 November and had been self-isolating since then. Ms Sturgeon added the lack of any known travel or overseas connection to the cases suggested there was community transmission of the variant in Scotland and she expects more cases linked to the event to be found in the coming days.

Global markets fall after Moderna warning
Stock markets around the world have fallen after the boss of pharmaceutical company Moderna cast doubts on the effectiveness of vaccines against Omicron. S

Covid: Greece to fine over-60s who refuse Covid-19 vaccine

( Still think Boris will resist the Covid media blob?)

E-K said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
E-K said...

Yup. Full lockdown Christmas.

Here's another thing I just realised.

As well as un graded "face coverings" (not masks) being perfectly legal the law states that exemption is done by un graded *self* exemption. I called my doctors to get an exemption letter and was told I didn't need one - that the correct procedure is to exempt one's self... the correct and legal place to get a lanyard is off ebay.

For God's sakes !

Doesn't this tell you all you need to know about the efficacy of either masks or exemptions ?

Masks are a sop to the unions. Boris has already caved. We know the Omicon vaccine will not be here for a few months.

Lockdown Christmas it is.

And the same next year.

It really is game over.

Anonymous said...

LOL

@CU

Bet you never thought your blog would become an anti vaxxing site.

lilith said...

CU's blog is not anti vax, I'm not anti vax. I'm anti medical coercion, anti mass hysteria, anti media manipulation of crises, anti poor research and follow up of experimental drugs being rolled out to millions, anti wholesale destruction of livelihoods, anti state tyranny, anti being made a prisoner by the NHS because they have their priorities arse backwards and anti poor dietary advice leading to chronic disease. Vaccines are great, in the general scheme of things.

lilith said...

Besides, this whole disaster is all about Capitalism. Someone is making a fortune from all of this deliberate impoverishing of nations.

Anonymous said...

LOL

“The lilith doth protest too much, methinks"

E-K said...

I have had the vaccinations ! I even volunteered to work in centres administering them.

However this is looking like an assault on our participation in capitalism and the freedoms it confers.

The chosen SAGE mouthpiece for the BBC is a paid up communist and calls for Zero Covid - an impossible goal (she well knows) but one that empowers the Left in perpetuity even when they lose all the votes.

Elby the Beserk said...

Perhaps we should have a sweepstake on how long the public sector will manage to stay off work watching YouTube? It's quite clear now that the Unions are seized with zero Covid, as it means they will never have to work again.

E-K said...

+1, Elby. They also have the added bonus of destroying the Tory economic plans.

In another age we would have called this action a General Strike - on full pay ! With secondary picketing enforced (working parents made to stay at home.)

A gift to the Left.

And I don't buy what the Cardiff Uni professor says (Jan @ 2.28)

That billionaire globalists are behind the Covid lockdowns and that this is somehow co-ordinated to funnel unprecedented profits via smart phones on super yachts .

Capitalism is an evolving creature and simply reacts to the wind. It feels that the wind is blowing one way ? It leans that way.

The internet age makes it highly reactive and this makes it feel planned but it really isn't. The professor's article was written with a dose of hindsight.

What capitalism is feeling right now is the undemocratic consolidation of power - in the West - towards the Left and that votes and majorities are to be ignored.

Capitalism wants to satisfy people but doesn't much care *which* people.

CV-19 has been the ultimate gift to the Left and also to China - this didn't start out as a political and economic bio-weapon and was a simple accident but it has been retro-purposed to be one now.

China is now the #1 Superpower in a massive spurt of growth over Western decline.

Conservatives (small c) everywhere have relinquished their powers and economic aims to the Left. Un graded masks and un graded exemption lanyards are all conservatives can offer to slow down the inevitable shutdown that the Left will demand.

Un graded masks are simply there to redact your face and to take away your individuality and show you who's boss. Un graded lanyards aren't much better but I'm going to wear one and feel like a coward doing it. (I should be wearing none at all.)

If the government really cared about stopping covid we'd have been issued with free N95s now. Just like they issued gas masks in WW2.




Anonymous said...

How have N95's worked out for stopping the spread in Germany?

Nick Drew said...

Kev (@ 10:19) - that's the best thing you've written on covid

lilith said...

If the government really cared about stopping Covid they would give proper information about prevention and early treatment. For example, nobody with a high serum level of Vit D dies (Hard to do if you are overweight as the Vit D gets sequestered to your fat cells). Nobody with controlled insulin levels dies (Impossible for people eating carbs all day). Ivermectin is a protease inhibitor so that's why it stops Covid taking over. Zinc ionophores help (Ivermectin, quinine, green tea, quercetin). Instead they say "stay home and eat sugar until your lips go blue then come to hospital and we'll put you on a glucose drip and blast your lungs out on a ventilator". We know the infection confers greater immunity than the vax. Best to get it mildly and throw it off quickly if you really want to be defended. We have all encountered it by now.

BlokeInBrum said...

It amuses me greatly that before Covid (bc) it was an offence punishable by death ( almost ) to have your kid miss school.

All sorts of dire warning were given out about how detrimental it was to your childs educamaction if they missed so much as a day. Families prosecuted or fined if they dared to take a holiday outside of the proscribed times.

Amazing how the unions and teachers have flipped the narrative.

Do they now belong in that select (but quickly growing) group of people such as politicians, lawyers and journalists that so richly deserve our utter scorn?

E-K said...

Praise indeed, Nick !

Bill Quango MP said...

BlokeInBrum.

Very, very good point.

APL said...

"They included young people of different backgrounds and ethnicities with intense fatigue and a six-year-old child with a very high pulse rate, she said. None suffered from a loss of taste or smell."

I can see where that's going: Must vaccinate the youth, because it makes more sense to chose the vaccine induced myocarditis lottery than endure the sniffles for a week.


E-K:"I called my doctors to get an exemption letter and was told I didn't need one - that the correct procedure is to exempt one's self... the correct and legal place to get a lanyard is off ebay."

Up here in t' north. I had applied to work back in the office ( I was missing the 3 mile round trip walk every morning ) one of the requirements was that I would wear a mask in the office. I said no.

Employer says, prove your mask exempt status.

So I call my GP, and they are not issuing any exempt letters at all, to anyone.

While waiting on the line for about twenty minutes to speak to the GP I google 'mask exemption', turns out you can go to 'disability orginisation of your choice' and self certify. OK, I did that.

The funniest thing is, they will kindly send you an email confirming your mask exempt status*, and accompanying it, a windows bitmap image saying 'Mask Exempt', I kid you not.

I could have knocked that up on my laptop in five minutes. Anyway, you are allowed to transfer the bit map to your phone to display should anyone question your public nakedness.

* apparently it is unlawful for anyone to ask you if you have mask exempt status.

Clown world, really clown world.

Anonymous said...

EK: "That billionaire globalists are behind the Covid lockdowns "

Bill Gates is absolutely involved. And his rotten vaccine alliance outfit GAVI.

He isn't and never has been a capitalist. He has used capitalism to get himself obscenely rich, and because of that thinks he can experiment on the rest of us.

lilith said...

Bill Gates fools people with his crew neck jerseys....Medicine is finished. So very finished. They can do nothing without trust, and they have shown the medics/media/ministers to be corrupted, all for the Gates dollar.

Anonymous said...

Gates through the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation, have bought the UK NICE.

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/freedom-of-information-responses-from-the-mhra-week-commencing-21-june-2021/freedom-of-information-request-on-whether-the-mhra-receives-funding-from-the-bill-and-melinda-gates-foundation-foi-21-624?fbclid=IwAR30vxaTGbb44IHEQWLmHOJsw1OH9RFJtDy7UTzQn_umjfxO3eB-fKO9Nkk

Anonymous said...

And right on que

Along come the conspiracy theories with Gates being the …
Surprised the lizard people haven’t been mentioned

Anonymous said...

Shouldn't add to the conspiracy theories but like all theories there is a germ (geddit) of truth in them.

OECD says "$50 Billion | That’s the amount needed to vaccinate the world, a measure that’s key to ending the pandemic and tackling the imbalances “plaguing the recovery,” according to OECD Chief Economist Laurence Boone. By comparison, the Group of 20 countries spent $10 trillion to mitigate the economic impact of Covid-19."

So $10 trillion of debt created just after they all wound down the investment into pandemic responses.

.... just saying


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-12-01/vaccinations-key-for-recovery-would-only-cost-50-billion-oecd

Anonymous said...

"And right on que"

Perhaps you mean 'cue'?

Anonymous said...

Anon @4:37 says: "Along come the conspiracy theories ... "

So is it false that the Bill & Melinda Gates foundation is channelling funds to the British Medicines and healthcare regulatory agency ?

Because you ought to be able to 'fact check' the Freedom of information response on the UK Governments web site ( link above ).

£980,000 totalling £3,000,000 - that seems like a significant wodge of cash. What does the B&M foundation get for that ?

Do you know what 'regulatory capture' is ?