Five for this year year - given last years 0 for 5 effort I am going double or quits:
1 - Oil price will rise rapidly as Iran causes more and more problems directly and via Iraq - maybe end the year over $120.
2 - The UK Government is at the mercy of events, a bad run in Europe and the Coalition will be in trouble with a possible election - only that will reset us to the same position as today with the Tories as the largest party in a hung parliament.
3 - Greece will fall out of the eurozone and cause another phase of the current crisis.
4 - China will finally show signs of the bursting of its economic miracle, the over-investment of the past few years will come home as demand slackens with property prices crashing and unemployment increasing - this in turn will cause big trade issues as excess goods are dumped on the world market.
5- This in turn will help to reduce inflation globally, but balanced by the oil price rise. UK inflation will fall back from its highs, but not to where most analysts say at 2-3% - more like 3.5% for the year - still way above pay settlements.