Fared OK-ish with last year's efforts:
- gold up in all currencies: check (14% in GBP)
- oil in 3 digits & staying there: check (I meant Brent, natch)
- bad UK riots: check, though there was a detail you could twit me on
- brutal Cabinet reshuffle: fail
- England to win 6 Nations (check) & reach RWC final (fail)
So I might claim 70%. If I was bragging. Which I'm not.
The family-&-friends prognostication panel has convened again: last year they scored on property prices, the AV referendum and England qualifying for Euro'12 (sic), but failed on Putin, the end of the coalition, and of Mrs T. This year they reckon a dust-up with Argentina; a Royal Baby; Paul Dacre to be interviewed by the rozzers (like that one); UK unemployment up every single month; and Arsene Wenger to leave Highbury. We shall see.
Anyhow - *clears throat* - I (and many others) reckon 2012 will be a discontinuity. Gold (physical) will march on, of course, with the distinct possibility of the collapse of the paper market along the way. However, that's not interesting any more. So here are my fateful five:
1. we will become dramatically aware how (over)reliant we have become on the interweb and all things digital - and not in a good way
2. there will be a vast surge in UK crimes against property (often inevitably involving violence), including some really nasty burglaries on folk keeping too much under the mattress
3. there will be some significant curtailments of freedom of speech
4. the Olympics will see a series of mighty scandals of several kinds, not least of which will be the bill: and the efforts of politicians to distance themselves from said outrages will have wider ramifications
5. an experimental England to win the 6 Nations (again)
& jolly good luck to all our readers ...