Showing posts with label Fairy tales. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Fairy tales. Show all posts

Thursday, 5 November 2020

The Trump who cried wolf

Quite interesting seeing the US have to wait for the Presidential outcome, like here in the UK when we had to wait in 2010 for the coalition to form - all very odd for those not used to it. 

I think Trump is about to learn the moral of the the tale of the boy who cried wolf.

Hard as it is to ascertain facts in this hyper-partisan time, it seems very odd that in a few key states something like 98%+ of the postal ballots went Biden. I mean it does not pass the smell test that. Even in Islington in the UK you would not get that level vote or indeed in say Surrey Heath. 

However, Trump has been on about this forever and is on about it in other cases where it is far less likely to be true. Mass accusations generally are a bad idea becuase they don't stand up to scrutiny.

Additionally, by signalling for months that he was going to do this, the Democrats have got their act together, with their own lawyers and attack lines. So Trump has given away his offensive advantage. 

So now he is going to go mad about fraud, he may even be right about a few things, but it wont be enough and he wont be believed without amazing hard evidence - which is unlikely to be found and will be strongly contested by the Dems anyway. 

Still it is possible he will sneak a win in Arizona and come through, but would be a big surprise from here. Joe Biden a strong favourite to be the next US President for a few months.